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Bulgaria Power Market Outlook to 2030, Update 2018 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape

Published: Dec 2015 | No Of Pages: 61 | Published By: GlobalData

This report elaborates Bulgaria's power market structure and provides historical and forecast numbers for capacity, generation, and consumption up to 2030. Detailed analysis of the Bulgarian power market’s regulatory structure, import and export trends, competitive landscape, and power projects at various stages of the supply chain is provided. The report also gives a snapshot of the power sector in Bulgaria on broad parameters of macroeconomics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario, and future potential. An analysis of the deals market scenario in the country’s power sector is also included in the report.

Scope

  • Snapshot of the country’s power sector across parameters - macro economics, supply security, generation infrastructure, transmission infrastructure, degree of competition, regulatory scenario and future potential of the power sector.
  • Statistics for installed capacity, power generation and consumption from 2000 to 2017, forecast for the next 13 years to 2030
  • Break-up by technology, including thermal, hydro, renewable and nuclear
  • Data on leading current and upcoming projects
  • Information on grid interconnectivity, transmission and distribution infrastructure and power exports and imports
  • Policy and regulatory framework governing the market
  • Detailed analysis of top market participant, including market share analysis and SWOT analysis.

Key Highlights

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Reasons to buy

  • Identify opportunities and plan strategies by having a strong understanding of the investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Identification of key factors driving investment opportunities in the country’s power sector
  • Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
  • Develop strategies based on the latest regulatory events
  • Position yourself to gain the maximum advantage of the industry’s growth potential
  • Identify key partners and business development avenues
  • Identify key strengths and weaknesses of important market participants
  • Respond to your competitors’ business structure, strategy and prospects.

Companies mentioned

  • Bulgarian Energy Holding EAD;
  • The AES Corporation;
  • RWE AG;
  • ContourGlobal plc

1 Table of Contents 1
1.1 List of Tables 4
1.2 List of Figures 5

2 Executive Summary 6
2.1 Bulgaria, Power Sector Outlook 6

3 Introduction 9
3.1 GlobalData Report Guidance 9

4 Bulgaria, Power Market, Snapshot 11
4.1 Macroeconomic Factors 11
4.2 Supply Security 13
4.3 Opportunities 13
4.4 Challenges 14

5 Bulgaria, Power Market, Market Analysis 15
5.1 Bulgaria, Power Market, Market Structure 15
5.2 Bulgaria, Power Market, Key Market Players 15
5.3 Bulgaria, Power Market, Financial Deals 16
5.3.1 Deal Value and Volume Analysis, 2008–June 2018 16
5.3.2 Deals by Type, 2017 18
5.4 Bulgaria, Power Market, Demand Structure 18
5.4.1 Power Consumption by Sector, 2017 19

6 Bulgaria, Power Market, Regulatory Scenario 21
6.1 Bulgaria, Power Market, Regulatory Framework 21
6.2 Nuclear Policy in Bulgaria 21
6.3 Renewable Power Policy in Bulgaria 22
6.3.1 National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) 22
6.3.2 European Union Energy Directives 22
6.3.3 Bulgaria Energy Strategy 23
6.3.4 Energy from Renewable Sources Act (ERSA) 23
6.3.5 Feed-in Tariff 24
6.3.6 Contracts for Difference (CfD) Scheme for Renewable Energy Companies 25

7 Bulgaria Power Market, Capacity and Generation Overview 26
7.1 Bulgaria, Power Market, Cumulative Installed Capacity, 2000–2030 26
7.1.1 Installed Capacity by Fuel Type, 2017 26
7.2 Cumulative Installed Capacity and Annual Generation, 2000–2030 27
7.2.1 Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity and Annual Thermal Power Generation, 2000–2030 29
7.2.2 Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity and Annual Hydropower Generation, 2000–2030 32
7.2.3 Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity and Annual Nuclear Generation, 2000–2030 35
7.2.4 Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation, 2000–2030 37

8 Bulgaria, Power Market, Transmission and Distribution Overview 41
8.1 Bulgaria, Power Market, Transmission Network Overview 41
8.2 Bulgaria, Power Market, Distribution Network Overview 42
8.3 Bulgaria, Power Market, Grid Interconnection 43
8.4 Bulgaria, Power Import and Export Scenario 44
8.5 Bulgaria, Power Market, Electricity Trading 45

9 Bulgaria, Power Market, Competitive Landscape: Snapshot of Leading Power Generating Companies 46
9.1 Key Company in Bulgaria Power Market: Bulgarian Energy Holding EAD 46
9.1.1 Company Overview 46
9.1.2 Business Description 46
9.1.3 SWOT Overview 46
9.2 Key Company in Bulgaria Power Market: The AES Corporation 49
9.2.1 Company Overview 49
9.2.2 Business Description 49
9.2.3 SWOT Overview 50
9.3 Key Company in the Bulgaria Power Market: RWE AG 52
9.3.1 Company Overview 52
9.3.2 Business Description 52
9.3.3 SWOT Overview 52
9.4 Key Company in the Bulgaria Power Market: ContourGlobal plc 54
9.4.1 Company Overview 54
9.4.2 Business Description 55
9.4.3 SWOT Overview 55

10 Appendix 58
10.1 Market Definitions 58
10.1.1 Power 58
10.1.2 Installed Capacity 58
10.1.3 Electricity Generation 58
10.1.4 Electricity Consumption 58
10.1.5 Thermal Power Plant 58
10.1.6 Hydropower Plant 58
10.1.7 Nuclear Power 58
10.1.8 Renewable Energy Resources 58
10.2 Abbreviations 59
10.3 Bibliography 59
10.4 Methodology 59
10.5 Coverage 59
10.5.1 Secondary Research 60
10.5.2 Primary Research 60
10.5.3 Modeling and Forecasting 61
10.6 Contact Us 61
10.7 Disclaimer 61

Table 1: Power Market, Bulgaria, Gross Domestic Product (BGN and $bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 12
Table 2: Power Market, Bulgaria, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 16
Table 3: Power Market, Bulgaria, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–June 2018 17
Table 4: Power Market, Bulgaria, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 19
Table 5: Power Market, Bulgaria, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 20
Table 6: Power Market, Bulgaria, Renewable Energy Feed-in Tariffs – Eligible Technologies, 2017 24
Table 7: Power Market, Bulgaria, Renewable Energy Feed-in Tariff (BGN and $/MWh), 2017 24
Table 8: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 26
Table 9: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 28
Table 10: Power Market, Bulgaria, Leading Thermal Power Plants (MW), 2018 29
Table 11: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 31
Table 12: Power Market, Bulgaria, Leading Hydropower Plants (MW), 2018 32
Table 13: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 34
Table 14: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2020–2030 37
Table 15: Power Market, Bulgaria, Leading Non-hydro Renewable Power Plants (MW), 2018 38
Table 16: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 40
Table 17: Power Market, Bulgaria, Transmission Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 41
Table 18: Power Market, Bulgaria, Distribution Line Length (Ckm), 2007–2025 43
Table 19: Power Market, Bulgaria, Grid Interconnections by Voltage (kV) and Length (km), 2018 43
Table 20: Power Market, Bulgaria, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 44
Table 21: Power Market, Bulgaria, Bulgarian Energy Holding EAD, SWOT Profile, 2018 47
Table 22: Power Market, Bulgaria, The AES Corporation, SWOT Profile, 2018 50
Table 23: Power Market, Bulgaria, RWE AG, SWOT Profile, 2018 53
Table 24: Power Market, Bulgaria, ContourGlobal plc, SWOT Profile, 2018 55
Table 25: Abbreviations 59

Figure 1: Power Market, Bulgaria, Gross Domestic Product ($bn) and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2017 6
Figure 2: Power Market, Bulgaria, Annual Power Consumption and Generation (TWh), 2000–2017 7
Figure 3: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 8
Figure 4: Power Market, Bulgaria, Gross Domestic Product ($bn), Population (m), and Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2023 12
Figure 5: Power Market, Bulgaria, Market Share of Leading Power Generation Companies (%), 2017 16
Figure 6: Power Market, Bulgaria, Deal Value ($bn) and Number of Deals, 2008–June 2018 17
Figure 7: Power Market, Bulgaria, Annual Power Consumption (TWh), 2000–2030 18
Figure 8: Power Market, Bulgaria, Power Consumption by Sector (%), 2017 20
Figure 9: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Capacity by Fuel Type (%), 2017 26
Figure 10: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW) and Annual Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 27
Figure 11: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Thermal Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Thermal Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 30
Figure 12: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Hydropower Capacity (GW) and Annual Hydropower Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 33
Figure 13: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Nuclear Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Nuclear Power Generation (TWh), 2020–2030 36
Figure 14: Power Market, Bulgaria, Cumulative Installed Non-hydro Renewable Power Capacity (GW) and Annual Non-hydro Renewable Power Generation (TWh), 2000–2030 39
Figure 15: Power Market, Bulgaria, Annual Power Imports and Exports (TWh), 2000–2017 44

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