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Mobile Satellite Communications Markets Survey Prospects to 2022

Published: Sep 2013 | No Of Pages: 140 | Published By: Euroresearch & Consulting
Comprehensive expert analysis & forecasts for the MSS sector
 
Mobile Satellite Communications Markets Survey, Prospects to 2022 is an expert analysis of the mobile satellite industry, assessing key trends and drivers in this market characterized by both a number of growth opportunities and challenges for key players. Satellite operators, service providers, investors, manufacturers & launchers, telecoms companies, space agencies and other actors use the exclusive ten-year forecasts in their business and investment planning and strategic decision-making.
 
The report provides a complete analysis of trends and prospects by segment, application and region:
 
Strategic Issues & Forecasts 
 
  • Current demand for MSS communications
  • Key trends & major applications
  • Ten-year forecasts (wholesale revenues & terminals)
 
Operators & Value Chain
 
  • MSS operators: Financials, strategies & positioning
  • Value chain & distribution 
 
Applications 
 
  • MSS broadband, M2M, handheld
  • Military & civilian government
 
Market Segments: Maritime, Land, Aeronautical, Government 
 
  • Supply (including key players)
  • Business models, major trends, competition
  • Applications & devices, regulation
  • Key assumptions & forecasts to 2022 
01-STRATEGIC ISSUES AND FORECASTSMSS OPERATORS GENERATING REVENUE OF $1.5 BILLION IN 2012
Three operators accounting for 90% of the market
More than 2.9 million MSS terminals in service in 2012
Six active MSS operators in 2012
Four out of six MSS operators EBITDA positive in 2012A BROADENING RANGE OF MSS PRODUCTS
Four major types of MSS terminals with very distinct features
A growing number of specialized vertical marketsKEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS IN THE MSS INDUSTRY
MSS growth primarily driven by data applications
New generation satellites to support the growth
Strong growth in emerging regions
Increasing regulatory requirements, a potential growth opportunity for MSS
New market segments with strong growth potential
Despite a recent decrease, government remains a key market
Increasing competition from mobile VSAT
Expected impact from Inmarsat Global Express
Competitive pressure should lead to a decrease in prices over time
Integration of MSS with other technologies
 
MSS INDUSTRY FORECASTS THROUGH 2022
MSS industry expected to grow at a CAGR of 5% over 2012-2022
Market still dominated by North America
Land to remain largest MSS market with over $1 billion wholesale service revenue in 2022
MSS broadband the key driver growing at double digit rates
 
02-MSS SATELLITE OPERATORS
$1.5 BILLION OF CONSOLIDATED REVENUES IN 2012
Three operators account for nearly 90% of the market today
Dish Networks acquired two struggling operatorsTHE TWO LARGEST MSS OPERATORS 
 
REPORTED REVENUE DECREASE IN 2012
 
LARGE VARIATIONS IN PROFIT MARGINS AMONG MSS OPERATORS
Four operators with positive EBITDA in 2012
Mixed performance in net results among the operators
MSS operators have significantly different cost structures
 
MSS OPERATORS ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF AN INVESTMENT PERIOD
 
PRODUCT PORTFOLIOS AND MARKET POSITIONING OF MSS OPERATORS
 
PRODUCT PORTFOLIOS OF MSS OPERATORS MORE DIVERSIFIED TODAY
 
VERTICAL INTEGRATION ENABLING HIGHER LEVEL CONTROL IN DISTRIBUTION
 
HOSTED PAYLOADS AS A NEW REVENUE GENERATING OPPORTUNITY
 
TECHNOLOGY TRENDS
Increasing capabilities with new-generation MSS satellites
Other major technology trends
Spectrum still a scarce resource in the MSS world
Ka-band potentially blurring the borders between MSS and FSS operators
03-
 
SERVICE DISTRIBUTORS PLAY A KEY ROLE IN THE MSS VALUE CHAIN
Business model of MSS service providers
Concentrated first-tier MSS service distribution market
Fragmented downstream distribution market
Service providers play a significant role in the regional markets
Expanding service distribution network for all MSS operatorsKEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS FOR 
 
MSS SERVICE DISTRIBUTORS
Vertical market integration impacting the industry future
Specialized service providers playing an increasingly important role in niche markets
More diversified distribution channel for mass market products
Increasing product portfolio of service providers with combination of technologies & servicesMSS EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURERS
Various strategies of equipment manufacturers
The number of players is increasing with new MSS products
Direct & indirect equipment sales models applied by MSS operators
Key equipment manufacturers active in both MSS & VSAT markets
 
MSS VALUE CHAIN AND
 
SERVICE DISTRIBUTION
 
04-MSS BROADBAND
 
BROADBAND AS A KEY GROWTH DRIVER FOR THE MSS INDUSTRY
Evolution of MSS data terminals towards broadband
BGAN stands for 56% of the MSS broadband marketKEY ADDRESSABLE MARKETS FOR MSS 
 
BROADBAND
Traditional MSS markets are migrating to broadband
Land market
Maritime market
Aeronautical market
 
MEA AS THE LARGEST USAGE AREA
 
INCREASING DEMAND FOR MSS BROADBAND DATA
Increase in broadband penetration in maritime & aero markets
Heavy usage in emergency response & quick deployment situations
 
VSAT AS KEY COMPETITION TO MSS BROADBAND
Fast progression for mobile VSAT
Capacity limitations & constraints for L-band service
High airtime pricing of MSS compared to VSAT solutions
Moving towards Ka-band, even for MSS operators
 
FORECAST FOR MSS BROADBAND TO 2022
Total MSS broadband terminals to grow to over 300,000 by 2022
Wholesale MSS broadband service revenues to exceed $960 million in 2022
More balanced regional distribution in 2022
 
05-MSS LOW DATE RATE –M2M MARKET
 
M2M MARKET PRESENTING VAST POTENTIAL FOR MSS OPERATORS
A $152 million service market in 2012 for MSS operatorsSEVERAL KEY VERTICAL MARKETS 
DRIVING GROWTH
Land market presents the largest opportunity
Emerging market segments bring more opportunities
North America as the largest MSS M2M market
 
BUSINESS MODELS & MARKET STRUCTURE OF THE MSS M2M INDUSTRY
Two different models for MSS operators
Value-added resellers key in the value chain
A low ARPU business relying on terminal growth
 
KEY TRENDS IN THE MSS LDR M2M MARKET
North America still dominating, but other regions catching up
Strong competition from other technologies
Dual-mode terminals as gap fillers for cellular networks
Hardware costs keep decreasing
Introduction of new maritime regulations stimulating a new round of rollouts
M&A consolidating the MSS LDR market
New distribution channels further pushing growth
 
FORECAST FOR M2M & ASSET TRACKING APPLICATIONS TO 2022
Close to 8 million terminals expected in service by 2022
Wholesale service revenue to more than triple by 2022
Land market will remain dominant in the MSS M2M industry
Regional distribution to become more balanced
06-MSS HANDHELD MARKET
 
HANDHELD: A CORE MSS MARKET
Professional users as key satellite phone users
Over $295 million in handheld service revenues for MSS operators in 2012
The Middle East, Africa, and North America leading the global handheld marketMAIN TRENDS OF MSS HANDHELD MARKET
Industrial design for professional users
High prices for products from established players
Satellite-only handsets dominate the market
Diversified distribution channels
An event-driven market
Inmarsat gaining shares in the handheld market
Strong competition from other technologies
 
FORECAST FOR MSS HANDHELDS TO 2022
More than one million active MSS handsets by 2022
Wholesale service revenue to pass $400 million by 2020
Regional distribution change in the next decade
 
07-MSS MARITIME MARKET
 
A CONTINUOUSLY GROWING MARKET
320,000 maritime MSS terminals active at year end 2012
Inmarsat is the market leaderCOMMERCIAL SHIPPING THE KEY ADDRESSABLE MARKET
 
TRAFFIC CONCENTRATES IN THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC & THE ASIA PACIFICREGION
 
DIVERSIFIED MSS PRODUCTS DRIVING GROWTH
Major applications for MSS in maritime markets
Increasing variety of MSS products for maritime markets
 
SERVICE PROVIDERS GETTING MORE SPECIALIZED
 
REGULATIONS STILL PLAYING CRITICAL ROLE
National and international regulations
Main regulatory barriers
Regulations are both market drivers and inhibitors
 
KEY TRENDS AND DRIVERS FOR MSS IN THE MARITIME MARKET
 
MSS INCREASINGLY THREATENED BY MARITIME VSAT
Increasing convergence of target markets between MSS and VSAT
MSS equipment competitive pricing as major purchase decision
 
FORECASTS FOR THE MARITIME MSS MARKET TO 2022
Addressable market to grow at low speed
Maritime MSS terminals to grow at 6% CAGR through 2022
MSS wholesale service revenues to reach $827 million by 2022
Europe to remain the leading region for maritime revenues
 
08-MSS LAND MARKET
 
LAND MOBILE: A HIGHLY COMPETITIVE AND HETEROGENEOUS MARKET
A diverse application mix for a large market
Strong competition between all MSS operatorsTHREE KEY LAND MOBILE APPLICATIONS
Voice still the dominant land mobile application
Broadband data applications on the rise
M2M has a high share in terminals but still a low share in revenues
 
NORTH AMERICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST ARE THE LARGEST REGIONAL MARKETS
 
MAJOR TRENDS AND DRIVERS FOR THE LAND MSS MARKET
MSS broadband creating new types of users
New vertical segments for MSS M2M solutions
Various terrestrial technologies still intensifying competition
Opportunities may appear through a combination of satellite and terrestrial
 
FORECAST FOR LAND MSS MARKETS TO 2022
M2M, the main growth driver in terms of MSS terminal numbers
Global wholesale service revenues at more than $1 billion by 2022
 
09-MSS AERONAUTICAL MARKET
 
A NASCENT MARKET WITH SIGNIFICANT GROWTH POTENTIAL
MSS wholesale service revenue in the aero market at $133 million in 2012
Two MSS operators dominating the marketNORTH AMERICA LEADS THE MSS AERO MARKET
 
DYNAMICS IN THE ADDRESSABLE AERO MARKETS
Business aviation a major addressable market for MSS
In-flight passenger connectivity, a new opportunity for commercial airlines
Government market as the largest user
Helicopters as emerging growth point
General aviation requiring basic satcom applications
 
NEW APPLICATIONS ARE PUSHING THE MARKET FORWARD
A broad variety of new MSS aero products now on the market
Cockpit communications still the main application by now
A growing market for in-flight entertainment and connectivity
 
INCREASING MARKET CONSOLIDATION AND PARTNERSHIPS ALONG THE VALUECHAIN
 
REGULATION PLAYS A KEY ROLE IN THE MARKET
Regulation principles
Safety communications and non-safety communications
Future regulatory programs to drive the mss market
Certifications set hurdles for market growth
 
OTHER MAJOR TRENDS AND DRIVERS
Increasing passenger communication demand as a main driver
Low-cost and small equipment as an advantage for MSS
Sustained demand for low-data-rate and basic voice communication
Increasing competition and convergence between MSS and other technologies
 
FORECAST FOR THE AERONAUTICAL MSS MARKET TO 2022
More than 111,000 terminals by 2022
Wholesale service revenues to grow at a CAGR of 10%
North America to remain the leading region
 
10-GOVERNMENT & MILITARY MARKET
 
GOVERNMENTS ESTIMATED TO ACCOUNT FOR ALMOST A THIRD OF THE MSS MARKET TODAY
Impact of military operations on the MSS industry
Military accounts for the bulk of government demand
Emergency communications dominate for civilian government operations
 
THE U.S. DOD AS THE SINGLE LARGEST MSS CUSTOMER
U.S. government accounts for a significant part of MSS revenue
Other agencies also see increasing MSS demand
 
KEY REQUIREMENTS AND APPLICATIONS FOR GOVERNMENT USERS
Complex military needs shape MSS services
Government users still most important land mobile MSS customers
Maritime market in a transition phase
Aero the fastest growing government segment
BFT and BFT-2 important elements for LDR services
New generation push-to-talk service for the DoD
 
GEOGRAPHICALLY CONCENTRATED GOVERNMENT MSS USAGE
A move from the Middle East and Africa towards Asia
Service distribution for government/military users
U.S. DoD new contract vehicles for acquiring commercial satellite capacity

MULTIPLE OPPORTUNITIES EXIST FOR U.S. DOD PROCUREMENTS
 
COMPETITION FROM OTHER SATELLITE SYSTEMS
Proprietary military satellite systems as the key competitor
 
A TRANSITION PHASE FOR FUTURE MSS MILSATCOM NEEDSMSS HANDHELD

 

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